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Updated January 5, 2021


Ecuador: An Overview


Political   and  Economic Situation
Ecuador is a small, ethnically and geographically diverse
country of 17 million inhabitants, located in South America
between Colombia  and Peru. In 2017, Lenin Morenoofthe
leftist Alianza Pais (AP) party was elected president,
succeeding President Rafael Correa (2007-2017), a populist
leader of the s ame party who had governed in an
increasingly authoritarian manner. Correa, Ecuador's
longest-serving president, was reelected three times,
bringing stability to Ecuador's previously tumultuous
politics. Many thought Correa's socialist Citizens'
Revolution movement  would continue under President
Moreno,  who served as Correa's vice president for six
years. President Moreno quickly distancedhimself from
Correa in style and substance, however, and implemented
liberal political and economic reforms.

Historically, Ecuador's economy has relied on agricultural
commodities, such as bananas, shrimp, and coffee. The
discovery ofoilin the Amazon in 1967 transformed the
Ecuadorian economy, but the country remains largely
dependent on commodity  exports despite diversification
efforts. Ecuador adopted the U.S. dollar as its national
currency in 2000, following a major recession.
Dollarization helped to curb inflation and foster
macroeconomic  stability. However, according to numerous
assessments, strong economic growth under Correa, which
averaged 5% annually between2010 and 2014, was driven
by a public investment boomfueled by high oil prices and
lending fromChina. For its construction projects, the
Correa government took on extensive debt fromChina that
is partially repayable with oil shipments. Althoughthe
politically significant indigenous population initially
supported Correa (see Figure 1), this support dwindled as
Amazon  and highland indigenous areas were threatened by
resource exploitation and infrastructure development.
Ecuador is one ofthe world's most biodiverse nations, with
protected areas encompassing 25% of the country.

The  M oren o Ad min istration Through  2020
President Moreno has chosen not to run in national
elections scheduled for February 2021 and is to conclude
his presidency in May 2021 after a single term. His efforts
to improve trade with the United States and renew other
bilateral ties have been met with public skepticism. In
addition, Moreno's government has been challenged by the
fallout of the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)
pandemic. The outbreak, combined with a halting economic
recovery, has taken a tollon Moreno's public standing. His
approvalratings are among the lowest in the region at 7%,
according to numerous polls. At the s ame time, many
analy s ts credit Pres ident Moreno for making major efforts
to curb corruption, open and liberalize trade, and strengthen


democratic institutions by bols tering judicial independence
and press freedom.

Figure I. Ecuador at aGlance


Area:  IU,4di square miles, slightly smaller than Nevada
Leadership:  President: Lenin Moreno; Vice President: Maria
Alejandra Muiioz Seminario; Minister of Foreign Relations: Luis
Gallegos Chiriboga
Ethnic  Makeup: 72% Mestio (mixed Amerindian and
White); 7.4% Montuvio (coastal farmers of mixed race and
indigenous heritage); 7.2% Afro-Ecuadorian; 7% Amerindian;
and  6.1% White (2010 census, National Statistics and Census)
Key  Trading  Partners: United States (26.7%), China
(14.8%), and Panama (8%) (Trade Data Monitor)
Poverty  Rate: 25% (2019,World Bank)
Economy:   GDP  = $93.1 billion (current U.S. $, 2020 World
Bank  est.)

In October 2017, after two months in office, President
Moreno  s uspendedhis vice president, Jorge Glas, for
alleged corruption. Glas was another former Correa vice
president who remained close to the former leader. In
December  2017, Glas was convicted of taking $13.5 million
in bribes fromOdebrecht, a Brazilian construction firmat
the center of corruption prosecutions throughout Latin
America, while serving as head of Ecuador's state oil
company.  In January 2018, Ecuador's legislature
impeached  Glas, who begana six-yearprisonsentence that
was upheld on appealin October 2019.

In February 2018, Moreno organized a successful
referendumthat prohibited indefinite reelection and adopted
other measures to counter public corruption. The
referendumalso drove a wedge between AP factions
aligned with Moreno andthose loyal to Correa, who would
be prohibited fromreturning to office. The former president
campaigned  against thereferendum, which he characterized
as a ploy to diminish his achievements. (However, in April
2020, Correa was convicted of corruption and sentenced in
absentia, as he currently lives in Europe).

Although Ecuadorian voters approved Moreno's
referendummeasures,  Correa convinced more than one-


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