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Updated August 3, 2020


Ethiopia


Ethiopia is Africa's oldest independent state and its second
most populous country. It hosts the headquarters of the
African Union (AU) and is the world's largest troop
contributor to U.N. peacekeeping operations, with forces
deployed in U.N. missions in neighboring Sudan and South
Sudan, and in Somalia as part of a multinational effort to
counter the Al Qaeda affiliate Al Shabaab. The United
States has viewed Ethiopia as an important security partner
in a volatile region. The bilateral relationship, which dates
back over 100 years, has been strained at times by tensions
over human rights and governance concerns.
Anti-government protests, fueled by a violent crackdown on
dissent, shook Ethiopia in 2016-2017. Pressure on the
government led to a leadership change in 2018 that stirred
optimism over the prospects for reforms. The transition
underway is fragile, though, and increasingly under strain.
When Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed took office in 2018, he
pledged to open Ethiopia politically and economically. He
won the Nobel Peace Prize in 2019 for pursuing peace with
neighboring Eritrea, initiating reforms at home, and seeking
to mediate other regional disputes. Amidst his reforms,
however, ethnic conflict has flared. Violent unrest in early
July 2020, triggered by the murder of a popular Oromo
singer and activist, underscored deep-seated ethnic tensions
that threaten Ethiopia's stability. The government blocked
the internet for weeks and arrested nearly 5,000 people,
including journalists, activists, and several opposition
leaders, raising concerns of democratic backsliding. The
government has postponed the 2020 elections due to
Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19), adding to tensions
and prompting calls for a national dialogue.


In the past century, Ethiopia's politics were dominated by
three leaders: Emperor Haile Selassie (1930 to 1974),
military dictator Mengistu Haile Mariam (1977-1991), and
Prime Minister Meles Zenawi. Meles seized power from
Mengistu's socialist Derg regime in 1991 and ruled until
his death in 2012. As leader of both the Ethiopian Peoples'
Revolutionary Democratic Front (EPRDF) coalition and
one of its ethno-regional components, the Tigray Peoples'
Liberation Front (TPLF), Meles was a powerful figure in
Ethiopian and regional politics, and his policies contributed
to rapid economic growth. Critics accused him of stifling
dissent and ensuring that his minority Tigray ethnic group
dominated the government and senior security posts.
Political space in Ethiopia closed after contested elections
in 2005, following a brief democratic opening in the early
2000s. Thousands of civic activists, opposition members,
and journalists were arrested in protests over the results.
Some were convicted on treason charges. The EPRDF later
leveraged repressive laws and electoral regulations to
maintain its political advantage, taking 99.6% of seats in


the 2010 elections and 100% in 2015. Ethiopia ranked, until
2018, among the world's most censored countries.
Figure I. Ethiopia: Key Facts


   P  atiton; IOR i oJ
   ComparativE- ares   sk yis Ia
   Religionsi E&:-pia 1 W ' .

   OyfficiaI ianguage Ase.EhCP
   Life expuectancyi 3~df

   GDP, GDP votGDP per capita; ~   ~o,74,$5

Source: CRS map. Data (2019) from CIA and IMF databases.
Efforts to suppress dissent intensified in 2016, as protests
over the perceived marginalization of the largest and second
largest ethnic groups, the Oromo and Amhara, escalated.
The government responded with force and mass arrests:
29,000 people were detained under a state of emergency
that tightened restrictions on expression and assembly. Over
1,000 people were reportedly killed, many by security
forces, in unrest. The protests surged again in late 2017 and
ethnic violence intensified, spurring mass displacement.
The unrest shook the foundations of the EPRDF. Under
public pressure and internal strain, the coalition pledged
reforms. In early 2018, then-Prime Minister Hailemariam
Desalegn released hundreds of political prisoners and then
resigned, to pave the way for more substantive reforms. The
EPRDF's first contested leadership election followed, and
Abiy emerged as its first Oromo leader. In April 2018, the
legislature elected him prime minister.


Prime Minister Abiy, a military intelligence veteran with a
doctorate in philosophy, is Africa's youngest leader. In his
inaugural address, he acknowledged critiques of EPRDF
governance and the need to address existing inequities that
led to recent unrest, stating that democracy cannot be
realized in the absence of rights. He shocked many when
he admitted that the government had tortured prisoners.
He attracted international headlines early in his tenure with
fast-paced announcements of political and economic
reforms. In his first 100 days, the government released tens
of thousands of political prisoners, removed terrorist
designations on opposition groups, and closed a notorious
detention facility. He invited former insurgents and exiled
critics to return, replaced top security chiefs, and fired
prison officials. The government opened access to over 260
blocked websites, blogs, and broadcasts. Civil society
welcomed the early 2019 passage of the Civil Society
Proclamation, a key reform measure that opened space for
human rights groups and lifted funding restrictions. Abiy's

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