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Relearh Service


Global Trade Imbalances



Updated September 28, 2018

In July 2018, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) released its latest report on global trade imbalances
that identifies countries with excessive current account balances and exchange rates that are
misaligned. The current account is a broad measure of a country's global economic engagement and is
comprised of trade in goods, services, and official flows. The report indicates that 40% to 50% of
countries had imbalances that were excessive, and that imbalances of about 3.25% of world GDP-both
surpluses and deficits-remained constant in 2017, as indicated in Figure 1. In other words, some
countries are saving too much and others are borrowing too much (globally, the combined saving and
borrowing nets to zero, including statistical discrepancy). Individuals, businesses, and governments
contribute to the saving rate. Advanced economies account for a rising share of the deficit: the United
States has the single largest deficit. Other trade specialists argue that extensive cross-border capital flows
have reduced the usefulness of the current account as a monitoring device and that policy prescriptions
based on current account imbalances-and trade imbalances as the largest component of the current
account-may be counterproductive.





















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