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March 20, 2018


Housing Finance: Recent Policy Developments


Several recent developments have affected the financial
condition of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. In February
2018, Fannie Mae announced that one-time tax adjustments
due to the 2017 tax revisions (P.L. 115-97) would require it
to request $3.7 billion in support from Treasury, and
Freddie Mac requested $312 million from Treasury. This
followed a December 2017 decision by the Federal Housing
Finance Agency (FHFA) and the Treasury to allow Fannie
Mae and Freddie Mac each to retain a capital reserve
amount (or net worth) of $3 billion. Prior to this
announcement, the capital reserve amount was scheduled to
be zero effective January 1, 2018. The $3 billion net worth
will reduce the likelihood that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac
will need additional Treasury support, but it does not
eliminate it.

This In Focus analyzes recent developments and several
housing finance issues stemming from them.


Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (known as government-
sponsored enterprises or GSEs because of their
congressional charters) buy home mortgages and pool them
into mortgage-backed securities (MBS), which are sold to
investors. One source of profit is the guarantee fee that they
charge sellers for guaranteeing investors timely payment of
principal and interest. Their other source of profit comes
from retaining some MBS as portfolio investments. The
GSEs retain the credit risk (i.e., the risk associated with a
borrower defaulting) on all of the mortgages they purchase.
In addition, the value of the MBS that they retain fluctuates
when interest rates change.

In September 2008, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac were in
weak financial condition and they entered conservatorship,
which means that FHFA (their regulator) became their
conservator and manager. The goal of conservatorship is to
keep a financial business operating while restructuring it to
improve its financial strength. Part of the initial
conservatorship agreement included a contract to sell
Treasury enough senior preferred stock as necessary to
maintain a positive net worth at Fannie Mae and Freddie
Mac, and to pay a 10% dividend on that stock. To date,
Treasury has purchased a combined $187 billion of senior
preferred stock from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. The
GSEs have paid dividends of $279 billion to Treasury.

The original contracts have been amended four times.
Changes include the following:

* The first amendments (May 6, 2009) double the
   maximum amount that Treasury would invest in Fannie
   Mae and in Freddie Mac to $200 billion each.


* The second amendments (December 24, 2009) adjust
   the maximum that Treasury would invest in Fannie Mae
   and in Freddie Mac based on previous draws and their
   financial conditions at the end of 2012.

* The third amendments (August 17, 2012) require Fannie
   Mae and Freddie Mac to cap their mortgage holdings at
   $250 billion by the end of 2018. It, also, changed the
   dividend each pays quarterly to Treasury from 10%
   annually on Treasury's investment to all of its net worth
   except for a capital reserve amount, which was
   scheduled to become zero at the start of 2018.

   FHFA said,

   Replacing the current fixed dividend in the
   agreements with a variable dividend based on net
   worth helps ensure stability, fully captures financial
   benefits for taxpayers, and eliminates the need for
   Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to borrow from the
   Treasury Department to pay dividends.
* The fourth amendments (December 21, 2017), officially
   called letter agreements, allow Fannie Mae and Freddie
   Mac each to retain a net worth of $3 billion. The $3
   billion is much less than either GSE's net worth prior to
   conservatorship. At the end of 2007, approximately
   eight months before entering conservatorship, Fannie
   Mae had a net worth of $44 billion and Freddie Mac had
   a net worth of $27 billion.

The move to allow the GSEs to retain a net worth of $3
billion has been a source of significant debate. Supporters
of the fourth amendments argue that the policy change
would avoid minor draws on the lines of support with
Treasury that stem from normal market movements and
thereby avoid upsetting financial markets. FHFA has stated
that it considers the $3 billion capital reserve sufficient to
cover other fluctuations in income in the normal course of
each Enterprise's business. We, therefore, contemplate that
going forward Enterprise dividends will be declared and
paid beyond the $3 billion capital reserve in the absence of
exigent circumstances. Opponents of the fourth
amendments argue that, because of the significant amount
of financial resources available to the GSEs, minor future
draws would not upset the markets. Instead, the argument
goes, the buildup of capital diverts money to the GSEs that
should go to compensate taxpayers and potentially makes it
easier for the GSEs to be returned to private shareholders, a
move opposed by many reform advocates.
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The GSEs and the mortgage market face several changes in
2018.


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