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June 5, 2017


The Container Shipping Slump, U.S. Exports, and

the Role of the Federal Maritime Commission


The international container shipping market is currently
undergoing significant consolidation in response to slower
growth in world container trade. This development may be
problematic for some U.S. exporters and for the smooth
functioning of ports. Congress is considering legislation
that could lead to greater competition among container ship
lines.
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Container shipping, also known as liner shipping, carries
most U.S. international trade and a growing proportion of
agricultural trade. The international container shipping
market, for decades, has had a persistent problem with
oversupply of shipping capacity. Maritime trading nations
generally have sought to develop and support their own
fleets of ships for national and economic security reasons
and/or to signify their nations' development and global
presence. More recently, overcapacity has been exacerbated
by larger ships that have come into service at a time when
trade growth has slowed (Figure 1).

Since the 1800s, ship lines have formed cartels, known as
conferences, to regulate rates and capacity on
international routes. The United States and other countries
have given ship owners a certain amount of antitrust
immunity to participate in conferences, but have also set
strict limits on the way conferences function. Although the
United States has generally favored competition among
transportation carriers in recent years, allowing regulated
antitrust immunity for ocean carriers recognizes the global
nature of shipping and thus the difficulty of pursuing U.S.
policy preferences unilaterally. Agreements among carriers
are regulated by the Federal Maritime Commission (FMC),
an independent agency. The FMC has five commissioners
appointed by the President and confirmed by the Senate for
five-year terms, with no more than three from the same
political party.

Congress began limiting cooperation among ship lines in
1916. Since the 1980s, various deregulatory shipping acts
have reduced the market power of shipping alliances.
Tariffs (official ocean rates) are no longer required to be
filed with the FMC, but rather merely posted on a carrier's
website, and ship lines are free to carry cargo at less than
the conference rate or not to belong to a conference. The
vast majority of containerized cargo is carried at contracted
rates specified in confidential agreements between carriers
and importers and exporters (shippers) rather than at the
posted rates. In 2008, the European Union disallowed
agreements among carriers involving specific rates and
capacity quotas (called rate discussion agreements, or
RDAs), but continued to allow more general vessel-
sharing agreements (VSAs), under which carriers reserve


space on each other's vessels. Thus, only VSAs are now
allowed among liner carriers providing service between
Europe and North America.

Figure I. U.S. International Container Trade
Loaded 20-Foot Equivalent Units (TEUs)





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Source: Maritime Administration, U.S. Waterborne Foreign Trade.
While the general trend has been toward further
deregulation of the market, the United States and Asian
nations still allow RDAs among liner carriers. The most
prominent RDA involving U.S. trade is the Transpacific
Stabilization Agreement among 10 container carriers.
RDAs must be nonbinding, so that each ship line is making
only a voluntary commitment to abide by the pricing terms
in the agreement. A carrier may ignore an agreement if it is
in its interest to reach other rate and service terms with a
shipper. The nonbinding nature of the agreements is a key
feature that has limited the carrier alliances' ability to
influence the market.

VSAs or similar agreements about vessel space sharing,
rather than RDAs that also set common rates, cover most
liner trade to and from the United States. All such
agreements must be filed with the FMC, which solicits
public comment. A proposed agreement goes into effect in
45 days unless the FMC requests more information or
opposes it in federal district court.

Shippers, in general, strongly oppose RDAs, but have been
less concerned about VSAs. A bill approved by the House
Transportation and Infrastructure Committee on May 24,
2017, H.R. 2593, would disallow carriers from participating
in both an RDA and VSA. The proposed change appears to
reflect concern over recent consolidation activity among
liner carriers. A companion bill approved by the Senate
Commerce Committee, S. 1129, does not make this change.


Since the Great Recession in 2008 and 2009, the growth
rate of U.S. container trade has slowed (Figure 1). The
slowdown may have caused the bankruptcy of two major


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