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March 2, 2017


Counterterrorism Issues: Islamic State Financing


The Islamic State (IS, aka ISIL/ISIS or the Arabic acronym
Da'esh) is a U.S.-designated Foreign Terrorist Organization
that has controlled parts of Iraq and Syria since 2014 and
has threatened to conduct attacks against the United States
and its citizens. As part of broader efforts to restrict the
group's ability to operate, the United States has sought to
limit the Islamic State's ability to raise funds and access the
international financial system. While IS revenue streams are
in decline, in part due to U.S. and coalition military strikes,
the group retains the capability to conduct operations inside
its territory as well as to inspire attacks abroad.

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The Islamic State's revenue is derived primarily from oil
sales and taxes levied on local residents, but the amount of
revenue from each source has fluctuated.
   Oil and Natural Gas. During its wide territorial
   expansion in 2014 IS captured oil and gas facilities in
   eastern Syria and northern Iraq. Income from these
   facilities initially provided the majority of the group's
   revenue, but gradually declined as a percentage of
   overall IS revenue due to airstrikes by the United States
   and coalition partners. In July 2016, U.S. officials
   estimated that Operation Tidal Wave II had reduced the
   group's monthly oil revenue by half.

      Operation Tidal Wave II. In October 2015,
      coalition forces began Operation Tidal Wave II,
      which targets IS oil and natural gas infrastructure to
      restrict the group's ability to fund governance
      activities and terror operations. Strike targets have
      included oil tankers, oil and gas separation plants,
      well heads, and pumping infrastructure. Air strikes
      also targeted the Islamic State's Ministry of Oil
      headquarters in Mosul, targeting the group's ability
      to administratively manage illicit oil and gas
      operations. Coalition forces have expanded strikes
      against Syrian oil fields, primarily in the eastern
      province of Dayr az Zawr, which had been
      providing two-thirds of the oil seized by the Islamic
      State according to Defense Department officials.

*  Taxation, Extortion, and Asset Seizure. The Islamic
   State earned approximately $360 million from
   taxation in 2015, according to U.S. Treasury
   Department officials. This includes taxes levied on
   government workers, traders and business owners,
   farmers, religious minorities, and other local residents,
   which in effect amounted to extortion. The Islamic State
   has increased its taxation of local residents in response
   to U.S. and coalition military operations that have
   reduced the group's ability to profit from oil and gas
   infrastructure. Some estimate that taxation is now the
   group's largest source of income.


* Kidnapping for Ransom, Antiquities, and External
   Donors. The Treasury Department and independent
   researchers estimate that the Islamic State earned
   between $20 and $45 million from kidnapping for
   ransom in 2014, but significantly less in 2015 and 2016
   due in part to the reduced presence of potential Western
   hostages. Treasury officials indicate that antiquities
   smuggling has not been a significant source of income
   for the Islamic State, although the group generates
   income from taxing those who engage in the activity.
   U.S. officials have stated that funding received from
   outside donors makes up only a small portion of the
   group's overall revenue.

Although the Islamic State was once described as the
richest terrorist group in the world, its financial prospects
are believed to be in decline. One study estimated that its
revenue has declined from approximately $1.9 billion in
2014 to some $870 million in 2016. The Treasury
Department estimates that the group generated roughly $1
billion in revenue in 2015. Multiple factors may explain
why IS revenues are difficult to estimate with precision:
* The Islamic State benefits from a mix of regenerating
   and non-renewable income sources, but the percentage
   of revenue derived from each source varies by year.
* Renewable revenue streams, such as taxation, have
   fluctuated due to changes in the group's tax base as it
   gains or loses territory, and changes to residents'
   available income (in 2015, the Iraqi government
   suspended the payment of salaries to workers in IS-held
   territory).
* Not all income generated by the group is in liquid cash
   form or other assessable goods. A significant portion of
   the group's revenue is generated from confiscations,
   such as land or items the group declares to be
   contraband (e.g., cigarettes). It is unclear how the value
   of real estate or commercial items is assessed in
   calculations of IS revenue.

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The Islamic State spends a significant portion of its revenue
on salaries for its fighters, as well as on administrative staff
that manage its network of ministries within Syria and
Iraq. U.S. officials have stated that the Islamic State has cut
salaries for fighters defending the group's self-declared
capital at Raqqah, likely reflecting cash shortages
throughout the organization. The group also expends funds
to maintain and repair infrastructure, as well as to provide
social services. Terrorist attacks conducted by the Islamic
State reportedly cost relatively little when compared to the
group's other expenses.


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