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TPP: Overview and Current Status


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Updated March 9, 2018


What is it? The Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) was a
proposed free trade agreement (FTA), signed by 12 Asia-
Pacific countries on February 4, 2016, after 8 years of
negotiation. In January 2017, the United States notified the
other TPP signatories that it would not ratify the agreement,
effectively ending TPP's potential entry into force as
written. On March 8, 2018, the remaining 11 TPP parties
signed the new Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement
on Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP). CPTPP would
essentially bring a slightly modified TPP into effect among
the 11 remaining TPP signatories. The new agreement
would freeze a limited number of provisions (20) that were
included in the TPP, in part, at U.S. insistence. These
suspended provisions, which include commitments on
investment and intellectual property rights, could
potentially be reinstated were the United States to consider
rejoining the agreement.
TPP aimed to reduce and eliminate tariff and nontariff
barriers on goods, services, and agriculture. It would have
established trade rules and disciplines that expanded on
commitments at the World Trade Organization (WTO) and
addressed new issues. The U.S. withdrawal has economic
and foreign policy implications for the United States, and
raises potential strategic issues regarding U.S. trade policy
and broader regional engagement.
Withdrawal and U.S. Next Steps. President Trump's
withdrawal from TPP upheld a pledge of his presidential
campaign and reflects his Administration's view that
previously negotiated U.S. FTAs have had poor outcomes.
In August 2017, the Administration began renegotiation of
NAFTA, the largest U.S. FTA, with Canada and Mexico,
and in January 2018 started official talks with South Korea
on potential modifications to the U.S.-South Korea
(KORUS) FTA. Both NAFTA countries were signatories to
the TPP, which would have essentially modified the
decades-old agreement. The Administration's stated
objectives for the NAFTA renegotiation, especially on
issues such as digital trade, intellectual property rights,
labor, and environment, significantly draw on TPP
provisions. Moving forward, the Administration intends to
negotiate bilaterally on new FTAs, and has suggested TPP
countries, particularly Japan, as among the top candidates,
in addition to the United Kingdom. More recently,
President Trump announced willingness to negotiate
collectively with the five TPP countries that are not
currently U.S. FTA partners (Figure 1) and to consider
rejoining a revised TPP agreement. To date, no TPP
countries have formally expressed interest in a bilateral
negotiation with the United States, possibly a reflection of
the contentious tenor of the NAFTA and KORUS talks.
Other Countries' FTA Negotiations. The remaining TPP
signatories are pursuing various trade initiatives beyond the
CPTPP, including both bilateral trade agreements and other
regional pacts. Key among the regional agreements is the
Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP), an
Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN)-led


initiative that includes China and seven TPP countries, but
not the United States. The European Union is also
negotiating FTAs with a number of Asian countries,
including Japan and Vietnam. To the extent these
agreements take a different approach on issues such as the
level of liberalization, intellectual property rights, labor and
environment commitments, and new rules like state-owned
enterprises and e-commerce, they could result in provisions
favoring the parties involved and not the United States.
They could also put U.S. exporters at a competitive
disadvantage as these agreements lower market access
barriers among the participants.
Stakeholders Views on U.S. Withdrawal. Supporters of
withdrawal opposed TPP over concerns it would increase
U.S. imports, lead to job losses, and cede U.S. sovereignty.
Opponents argue that U.S. withdrawal has lessened U.S.
influence and U.S. firms' competitiveness in the region,
given other countries, particularly China, greater influence
in establishing regional trade rules, and removed incentives
for reforms in TPP countries, such as Vietnam, as well as
possible future participants. Many also argue withdrawal
signals declining U.S. political and economic engagement
in the region in the face of China's rise and increasing
challenges to the U.S.-led, rules-based trading system.

Figure I. 2016 TPP and U.S. Country Demographics

                         Population         GDP
                U.S. PTA  (m~fins)    iStJS. bd1Wrns

    Australia     I                           .
    Brunei                                   3-r
    Canada
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    Japan
                           . .. .. , .. . .. . . . .
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         .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . ...... + + + +. : . . . . ......... . ............ . . . .

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    NewZ  aland...........
         ... .. .. .. .. .. .. ... .. .. .. .. .. .. .. ... . . . ..... ..............:::::::




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