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       '     Congressional Research Service


             Ifr rm g the Iogvltive debat sance1914



U.S. Trade: Recent Trends and Developments


Background
Over the past two years, Congress has demonstrated
significant interest in U.S. and international trade trends as
part of its efforts to examine U.S. trade policy and key U.S.
trading relationships. In particular, demand for comparative
analysis of bilateral trade flows and balances has
heightened as the Trump Administration takes actions with
the intention of reducing U.S. bilateral trade deficits,
enforcing U.S. trade laws and agreements, and promoting
what it considers to be free, fair, and reciprocal trade.
The role of Congress in trade policy stems from a number
of overlapping responsibilities, including its constitutional
authority over regulating commerce with foreign countries
and broad oversight responsibility over the performance of
the economy. The changing dynamics and composition of
U.S. trade are important to Members, because they can
affect the overall health of the U.S. economy, the success of
U.S. workers and firms, and the U.S. standard of living.

U.S. Trade in Goods
U.S. merchandise exports totaled $1.7 trillion in 2018, a
7.8% ($120.7 billion) increase from the 2017 level (Table
1). The value of U.S. merchandise imports was $2.6 trillion
over the same period, up 8.6% ($202.9 billion) from 2017.
U.S. imports increased more than U.S. exports, leading to
an increase of $82.1 billion (10.2%) in the U.S.
merchandise trade deficit to $887.3 billion.
Trade in Goods with Leading Partners
In 2018, the European Union (EU)-as a single entity-
was the United States' top trading partner in terms of two-
way (exports plus imports) merchandise trade, followed by
China, Canada, and Mexico. China's share in U.S.
merchandise trade has increased dramatically over the past
two decades, from 5.8% in 2000 to 15.6% in 2018. Ranked
by exports, the EU was the leading market for U.S. exports,
which totaled $320.2 billion (19.1% of all U.S. exports).
Canada was the second-largest export market ($300.5
billion worth of U.S. exports or 17.9%), followed by
Mexico and China. In terms of imports, China was the
leading source of U.S. imports ($540.4 billion or 21.1% of
all U.S. imports), followed by the EU ($489.8 billion or
19.1%), Mexico, and Canada. The United States had
merchandise trade deficits with most of its major partners in
2018, including with China ($419.6 billion), the EU ($169.6
billion), Mexico ($86.6 billion), and Japan ($68.5 billion).
U.S. merchandise exports to most major trading partners
increased from 2017 to 2018. The largest was a $35.4
billion (12.4%) increase in U.S. exports to the EU. It was
followed by a $22.0 billion increase in exports to Mexico
(up 9.0%) and a $17.4 billion increase to Canada (up 6.1%).
In percentage terms, the largest increases in U.S. exports
were to Venezuela (48.3%), India (30.7%), and Nigeria
(23.3%). U.S. exports to Saudi Arabia, China, and Hong
Kong decreased 16.7%, 7.3%, and 5.9%, respectively.


Updated August 13, 2019


Table I. U.S. Trade in 2018

                                U.S.$       % Change
                              (billions)   from 2017*

 Total Exports                    2,501.3          6.3
    Exports of Goods              1,674.3          7.8
    Exports of Services             827.0          3.5
 Total Imports                    3,122.9          7.8
    Imports of Goods              2,561.7          8.6
    Imports of Services             567.3          4.3
 Total Balance (Deficit)           -627.7          14.1
    Balance on Goods (Deficit)     -887.3          10.2
    Balance on Services (Surplus)   259.7           1.8
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis (June 20, 2019).
Note: * not adjusted for inflation.
U.S. merchandise imports from all top trading partners-
except Nigeria, Hong Kong, and Israel-increased in 2018.
The largest increases in imports were $52.1 billion (11.9%)
from the EU, $34.4 billion (6.8%) from China, and $34.1
billion (10.7%) from Mexico. In percentage terms, the
largest increases were from Singapore (36.7%), Norway
(34.3%), Saudi Arabia (27.5%), and Russia (22.4%). U.S.
imports from Nigeria and Hong Kong decreased 20.2% and
12.5%, respectively.
U.S. Trade in Services
In 2018, U.S. exports of services increased 3.5% ($28.0
billion), from $799.0 billion to $827.0 billion, while U.S.
services imports grew 4.3% ($23.4 billion), from $543.9
billion to $567.3 billion. The U.S. surplus in services trade
increased 1.8% ($4.6 billion) to $259.7 billion.
Trade in Services with Leading Partners
The EU was the United States' top trading partner in terms
of two-way (exports plus imports) services trade in 2018,
while the largest single-country services trading partners
were the UK, Canada, Japan, and China. Since 2000, the
share of U.S. services trade with partners like the UK,
Canada, and Japan has decreased, while that of China and
India, for example, has grown dramatically. The EU was
the largest export market for U.S. services and the largest
foreign supplier of U.S. services imports in 2018. It
accounted for $253.6 billion (30.7%) of total U.S. services
exports and for $198.6 billion (35.0%) of total U.S. services
imports. After the EU, the top markets for U.S. services
exports were Canada, China, and Japan, while the top
sources of U.S. services imports were Canada, Japan, and
India. In 2018, the United States maintained a services trade
surplus with every major services trading partner except
India ($4.4 billion deficit).


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