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               Congressional
            **Research Service






U.S. Trade Friction with China Intensifies



June   19, 2019
Commercial  relations between the United States and China are experiencing an increasing level of tension
and uncertainty. In August 2017, the Trump Administration launched a Section 301 investigation of
Chinese policies relating to technology transfer, intellectual property, and innovation policies deemed
harmful to U.S. economic interests. In March 2018, the Administration announced it would take specified
action against China in response to such policies, including increased tariffs. The Administration
subsequently raised tariffs on three tranches of import products from China, (with estimated combined
worth of $250 billion). China imposed retaliatory tariff increase on three tranches of imported products
from the United States (with estimated combined worth of $110 billion).
On February 14, 2019, President Trump tweeted that trade negotiations with China were in advanced
stages and suggested that an agreement could soon be reached. However, on May 5, he tweeted that
trade negotiations were going too slowly and that China was attempting to renegotiate previous trade
commitments. As a result, on May 10, he ordered that tariffs on a third tranche of Chinese goods be raised
from 10%  to 25% (made fully effective on June 15) and that the process for increasing tariffs by 25% on
nearly all remaining U.S. imports from China (estimated value at $300 billion) be started. On May 13,
China announced it would increase its tariffs on many of the U.S. products listed in its third tranche
(effective June 1). China blamed the United States for the breakdown in talks, claiming it had persisted
with exorbitant demands and demanded concessions touching on China's sovereign affairs.

Tariff  Increases and Trade

Both sides are experiencing trade impacts of the tariff hikes. While U.S. merchandise imports from China
in 2018 rose by 6.7% (to $540 billion), over the previous year (data not shown), they fell by 13.9% during
the first quarter of 2019 year-over-year, while imports covered by U.S. tariff hikes dropped by 29.9% (see
Figure 1). Similarly, while Chinese imports from the United States increased by 2.4% (to $154 billion) in
2018 (data not shown), they fell by 29.3% during the first quarter of 2019. Imports of U.S. products
covered under China's retaliatory tariff measures fell 36.6% (year-over-year). (See Figure 2.) This has
raised concerns that China is increasingly turning to non-U.S. suppliers who are not subject to the higher
tariffs.




                                                                  Congressional Research Service
                                                                    https://crsreports.congress.gov
                                                                                        IN11135

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