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1 (May 8, 2008)

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                                                                         Order Code RS21625
                                                                         Updated May 8, 2008





SCRS Report for Congress



                              China's Currency:
                 A Summary of the Economic Issues


                                   Wayne M. Morrison
                      Foreign Affairs, Defense, and Trade Division

                                      Marc Labonte
                            Government and Finance Division

        Summary


             Many Members of Congress charge that China's policy of accumulating foreign
        reserves (especially U.S. dollars) to influence the value of its currency constitutes a form
        of currency manipulation intended to make its exports cheaper and imports into China
        more expensive than they would be under free market conditions. They further contend
        that this policy has caused a surge in the U.S. trade deficit with China and has been a
        major factor in the loss of U.S. manufacturing jobs. Although China made modest
        reforms to its currency policy in 2005, resulting in a modest appreciation of its currency
        many, Members contend the reforms have not gone far enough and have warned of
        potential legislative action. This report summarizes the main findings CRS Report
        RL32165, China's Currency: Economic Issues and Options for U.S. Trade Policy, by
        Wayne M. Morrison and Marc Labonte and will be updated as events warrant.


            From 1994 until July 21, 2005, China maintained a policy of pegging its currency,
        to the U.S. dollar at an exchange rate of roughly 8.28 yuan to the dollar.' The Chinese
        central bank maintained this peg by buying (or selling) as many dollar-denominated assets
        in exchange for newly printed yuan as needed to eliminate excess demand (supply) for the
        yuan. As a result, the exchange rate between the yuan and the dollar basically stayed the
        same, despite changing economic factors which could have otherwise caused the yuan to
        either appreciate or depreciate relative to the dollar. Under a floating exchange rate
        system, the relative demand for the two countries' goods and assets would determine the
        exchange rate of the yuan to the dollar. Many economists contend that for the first several
        years of the peg, the fixed value was likely close to the market value. But in the past few
        years, economic conditions have changed such that the yuan would likely have
        appreciated if it had been floating. The sharp increase in China's foreign exchange


        1 The official name of China's currency is the renminbi (RMB), which is denominated in yuan
        units. Both RMB and yuan are used to describe China's currency.

                  Congressional Research Service    The Library of Congress
                        Prepared for Members and Committees of Congress

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