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1 (November 28, 2007)

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                                                                  Order Code RS21625
                                                           Updated November 28, 2007





         CRS Report for Congress



                       China's Currency:
         A Summary of the Economic Issues


                            Wayne M. Morrison
               Foreign Affairs, Defense, and Trade Division

                               Marc Labonte
                    Government and Finance Division

Summary


     Many Members of Congress charge that China's policy of accumulating foreign
 reserves (especially U.S. dollars) to influence the value of its currency constitutes a form
 of currency manipulation intended to make its exports cheaper and imports into China
 more expensive than they would be under free market conditions. They further contend
 that this policy has caused a surge in the U.S. trade deficit with China and has been a
 major factor in the loss of U.S. manufacturing jobs. Threats of possible congressional
 action led China to make changes to its currency policy in 2005, which has since
 resulted in a modest appreciation of the yuan. However, many Members have expressed
 dissatisfaction with the pace of China's currency reforms and have warned of potential
 legislative action. This report summarizes the main findings CRS Report RL32165,
 China's Currency. Economic Issues and Options for U.S. Trade Policy, by Wayne M.
 Morrison and Marc Labonte and will be updated as events warrant.


    From 1994 until July 21, 2005, China maintained a policy of pegging its currency
(the renminbi or yuan), to the U.S. dollar at an exchange rate of roughly 8.28 yuan to the
dollar. The Chinese central bank maintained this peg by buying (or selling) as many
dollar-denominated assets in exchange for newly printed yuan as needed to eliminate
excess demand (supply) for the yuan. As a result, the exchange rate between the yuan and
the dollar basically stayed the same, despite changing economic factors which could have
otherwise caused the yuan to either appreciate or depreciate relative to the dollar. Under
a floating exchange rate system, the relative demand for the two countries' goods and
assets would determine the exchange rate of the yuan to the dollar. Many economists
contend that for the first several years of the peg, the fixed value was likely close to the
market value. But in the past few years, economic conditions have changed such that the
yuan would likely have appreciated if it had been floating. The sharp increase in China's
foreign exchange reserves (which grew from $403 billion at the end of 2003 to $1.4



          Congressional Research Service    The Library of Congress
                Prepared for Members and Committees of Congress

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