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1 (July 11, 2007)

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                                                                          Order Code RS21625
                                                                          Updated July 11, 2007





C'RS Report for Congress



                               China's Currency:
                 A Summary of the Economic Issues


                                    Wayne M. Morrison
                       Foreign Affairs, Defense, and Trade Division

                                       Marc Labonte
                            Government and Finance Division

        Summary


             Many Members of Congress charge that China's policy of accumulating foreign
         reserves (especially U.S. dollars) to influence the value of its currency constitutes a form
         of currency manipulation intended to make its exports cheaper and imports into China
         more expensive than they would be under free market conditions. They further contend
         that this policy has caused a surge in the U.S. trade deficit with China and has been a
         major factor in the loss of U.S. manufacturing jobs. Threats of possible congressional
         action led China to make changes to its currency policy in 2005, which has since
         resulted in a modest appreciation of the yuan. However, many Members have expressed
         dissatisfaction with the pace of China's currency reforms and have warned of potential
         legislative action. This report summarizes the main findings CRS Report RL32165,
         China's Currency: Economic Issues and Options for U.S. Trade Policy, by Wayne M.
         Morrison and Marc Labonte and will be updated as events warrant.


            From 1994 until July 21, 2005, China maintained a policy of pegging its currency
        (the renminbi or yuan), to the U.S. dollar at an exchange rate of roughly 8.28 yuan to the
        dollar. The Chinese central bank maintained this peg by buying (or selling) as many
        dollar-denominated assets in exchange for newly printed yuan as needed to eliminate
        excess demand (supply) for the yuan. As a result, the exchange rate between the yuan and
        the dollar basically stayed the same, despite changing economic factors which could have
        otherwise caused the yuan to either appreciate or depreciate relative to the dollar. Under
        a floating exchange rate system, the relative demand for the two countries' goods and
        assets would determine the exchange rate of the yuan to the dollar. Many economists
        contend that for the first several years of the peg, the fixed value was likely close to the
        market value. But in the past few years, economic conditions have changed such that the
        yuan would likely have appreciated if it had been floating. The sharp increase in China's
        foreign exchange reserves (which grew from $403 billion at the end of 2003 to $1.2



                  Congressional Research Service    The Library of Congress
                        Prepared for Members and Committees of Congress

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