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535 Annals Am. Acad. Pol. & Soc. Sci. 8 (1994)

handle is hein.cow/anamacp0535 and id is 1 raw text is: PREFACE The rather sudden and unexpected ending of the Cold War has resulted in fundamental changes in the international system and in the conduct of global diplomacy. Likewise, and as an obvious correlate, there have been significant changes in the workings of the international arms trade, which, as has often been observed, is a key indicator of the state of international affairs, policy writ large. Some 15 years ago, the special editors of this volume coedited a general work on arms transfers, Arms Transfers in the Modern World.1 In light of the massive recent upheavals in international affairs, we thought this an appro- priate juncture to publish a new collection of articles on this subject, which would examine the prospects for the arms trade in the emerging new world order of the 1990s. The contributions presented here will, we hope, provide a panoramic perspective on most of the important aspects of arms transfers. Some, such as those on supplier markets or on arms control, represent the latest thinking and information on subjects that have long been the focus of attention in the arms trade literature. Others, such as the contributions on financing and intelligence, represent initial attempts at opening up new areas of inquiry. The article by Robert Harkavy compares patterns of the arms trade in the interwar, postwar (Cold War), and emerging post-Cold War periods, raising the question of whether some currently emerging trends are reminiscent of the 1930s, before the age of superpower bipolarity. That by Ian Anthony reviews the different types of available data on the arms trade and uses currently available aggregate data to assess current trends and to offer a speculative projection of macro trends over the medium term. The article by Elisabeth Skons and Herbert Wulf discusses the ongoing internationalization of arms production and trade, focusing on multinational production programs not only within Europe or on a transatlantic basis but now also involving cooperative projects between firms in the West and in Russia. Michael Brzoska and Frederic Pearson provide a comparative analysis of the arms production and trade policies-and the opportunities and motives- of each of the major supplier nations, namely, the United States, Russia, the major European countries, China, and also third-tier countries. The article by Keith Krause focuses on the recipient side and on arms transfers to the crucial Middle Eastern region. It actually shifts the focus somewhat away from arms transfers toward overall changes in weapons arsenals and the relationship between weapons and armed forces. That by Stephanie Neuman reexamines the debate over the relationship between arms transfers, military industrial production, and economic development, long a staple conceptual 1. New York: Praeger, 1979. 8

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