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481 Annals Am. Acad. Pol. & Soc. Sci. 9 (1985)

handle is hein.cow/anamacp0481 and id is 1 raw text is: PREFACE

In a world of rapid and unpredictable change, Mikhail Gorbachev and the
emerging generation of Soviet elites face difficult choices in foreign policy between
competing interests, between the need for flexibility and the need for toughness, and
between long- and short-term goals. Although the new leader inherits the achieve-
ment of military parity with the United States, the broader pursuit of Soviet
interests occurs in a global environment that is multipolar politically and increas-
ingly interdependent economically. This diffusion of power creates new opportuni-
ties for extending Soviet influence but it also creates new risks of miscalculation and
policy failures that could undermine Gorbachev's authority within the Kremlin and
internationally. Whatever the decisions, they will have to allow for the legacy of
previous commitments, ideological rigidity, and the sobering reality of nuclear
weapons. This special issue of The Annals aims to inform speculation about the
likely foreign policy goals and priorities of the Gorbachev era.
The issue, which assesses recent Soviet foreign policy from a variety of national
and regional perspectives, consists entirely of articles by non-Americans. It is, I
believe, the first collection of this kind. Each author was asked to address three
broad questions: (1) how has Soviet policy toward his or her particular country or
region changed over the past 15 years, since the middle of the Brezhnev period? (2)
what local and international factors appear to be the most salient in explaining
shifts in Soviet policy? and (3) what lessons can be drawn regarding the degree and
effectiveness of Soviet involvement in local and regional affairs?
Three purposes lay behind this approach. One was to identify and encourage
scholars in other parts of the world who are interested in Soviet foreign policy.
Another was to promote closer cooperation among analysts with different national
perspectives in order to broaden our mutual understanding of Soviet capabilities.
This goal was achieved in part by a meeting of contributors to the volume. For
several days in November 1984 the authors, most of whom were meeting for the first
time, discussed their draft essays and ways of strengthening Soviet foreign policy
studies that in many areas of the world do not exist beyond the narrow confines of
official diplomacy. Finally, the volume was intended as an antidote to the ethnocen-
trism of Soviet studies in the United States, where Soviet international behavior is
measured primarily in terms of immediate U.S. interests, with insufficient attention
to how other nations manage their relations with Moscow and with what effects.
U.S. VIEWS OF
SOVIET FOREIGN POLICY
Almost 70 years after the October revolution, the U.S. foreign policy community
remains deeply divided by the nature of the Soviet threat. Charles Wolf, Jr., of the
Rand Corporation has characterized the debate as being between two conflicting
sets of beliefs.' One of these he terms mirror imaging, which holds that, while the
1. Charles Wolf, Jr., Extended Containment, in Beyond Containment, ed. Aaron Wildavsky
(Westlake Village, CA: ICS Press, 1983).
9

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