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1 Monthly Budget Review for May 2018 1 (June 7, 2018)

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                                                                                      June 7, 2018





              Monthly Budget Review for May 2018


The federal budget deficit was $530 billion for the first eight months of fiscal year 2018, the Congressional
Budget Office estimates, $97 billion more than the shortfall recorded during the same period last year.
Revenues  and outlays were higher, by 3 percent and 6 percent, respectively, than they were during the first
eight months of fiscal year 2017.

As was the case last year, this year's outlays were affected by shifts in the timing of certain payments that
otherwise would have been due on a weekend. If not for those shifts, outlays and the deficit through May
would have been larger, by roughly $40 billion, both this year and last year-but the year-to-year changes
would not have been very different.


                                     Budget Totals, October-May
                                            Billions of Dollars

                           Actual, FY 2017        Preliminary FY 2018      Estimated Change

          Receipts              2.169                   2,224                    55
          Outlays               2.602                   2.754                   152

          Deficit (-)           -433                    -530                    -97
          Sources: Congressional Budget Office; Department of the Treasury. Based on the Monthly Treasury
          Statement for April 2017 and the Daily Treasury Statements for May 2018.
          FY = fiscal year.



Total Receipts:  Up  by 3 Percent   in the First Eight Months  of Fiscal Year  2018
Receipts for the first eight months of fiscal year 2018 totaled $2,224 billion, CBO estimates-$55 billion
more than the amount during the same period last year.

The net increase in receipts from last fiscal year resulted from changes in collections from the following
sources, according to CBO's estimates:

    m   Individual income and payroll (social insurance) taxes together rose by $109 billion
        (or 6 percent).
           o  Amounts  withheld from workers' paychecks rose by $45 billion (or 3 percent). That
              change largely reflects increases in wages and salaries that were partly offset
              beginning in February by a decline in the share of income withheld for taxes. In
              January, the Internal Revenue Service issued new withholding tables to reflect
              changes made by Public Law  115-97, the major tax legislation enacted in December
              2017. All employers were required to begin using the new tables by February 15,
              2018.


Note: The amounts shown in this report include the surplus or deficit in the Social Security trust funds and the net cash
flow of the Postal Service, which are off-budget. Numbers may not add up to totals because of rounding.

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