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1 Final Sequestration Report for Fiscal Year 2021 1 (January 13, 2021)

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                                                            Congressional Budget Office
                                                            Nonpartisan  Analysis for the US. Congress  1







Final Sequestration Report

for Fiscal Year 2021                                                                         JANUARY 12021


After a session of Congress ends, the Congressional
Budget  Office is required to issue a report that provides
estimates of the limits (often called caps) on discretion-
ary budget authority that are in effect through fiscal year
2021.1 (No caps have been established for subsequent
years.) CBO  also must report whether, according to its
estimates, enacted legislation for the current fiscal year
has exceeded the caps and thus would trigger a cancella-
tion of budgetary resources, known as a sequestration.

In CBO's  estimation, a sequestration will not be
required for 2021. However, the authority to make
that determination-and,  if so, how to cut budget
authority-rests with the Administration's Office of
Management   and Budget  (OMB).  Those determinations
are based on OMB's  own  estimates of federal spending.

Limits on Discretionary
Budget Authority
The Budget  Control Act of 2011 (Public Law 112-25)
has been modified several times to increase the caps on
funding for defense (called security in the law) and for
nondefense  (nonsecurity) programs. Most recently, the
Bipartisan Budget Act of 2019 (P.L. 116-37) set the
limits for 2021 at $1,298 billion-$671.5 billion for
defense and $626.5 billion for nondefense (see Table 1).

1.  Budget authority is the authority provided by law to incur
   financial obligations that will result in immediate or future
   outlays of federal funds. Discretionary budget authority is
   provided and controlled by annual appropriation acts.


As specified in law, those caps are adjusted each year to
accommodate   certain types of spending. On the basis
of the appropriations provided in the Consolidated
Appropriations Act, 2021 (PL. 116-260), CBO   esti-
mates that the adjustments to the caps for 2021 amount
to $293 billion. Most of the estimated adjustments
are for nondefense funding, including $194 billion
for emergency requirements, largely designated for the
Departments  of Education, Health and Human   Services,
and Transportation. Other estimated adjustments to
the nondefense cap include the following: $8 billion for
overseas contingency operations (such as military activi-
ties in Afghanistan), $17 billion for disaster relief, $2 bil-
lion for wildfire suppression, and $2 billion for program
integrity initiatives.2 Combined, those changes bring the
total adjustment to the nondefense cap to $223 billion.
Adjustments  to the defense cap are expected to total
$69 billion, nearly all of which is for overseas contin-
gency operations.

After those adjustments are made, the caps on budget
authority for 2021 will total $741 billion for defense
programs  and $850 billion for nondefense programs,
CBO   estimates-nearly $1.6 trillion in all. According to


2. Program integrity initiatives seek to identify and reduce
   overpayments in certain benefit programs, such as Disability
   Insurance, Supplemental Security Income, Medicare, Medicaid,
   unemployment compensation, and the Children's Health
   Insurance Program.


All years referred to in this report are federal fiscal years, which run from October 1 to September 30 and are designated by the calendar year in which they end.
Numbers in the text and table may not add up to totals because of rounding.

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