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1 1 (December 15, 2017)

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O       CONGRESSIONAL BUDGET OFFICE                               Keith Hall, Director
        U.S. Congress
        Washington, DC 20515


                                       December 15, 2017




       Honorable Kevin Brady
       Chairman
       Committee on Ways and Means
       U.S. House of Representatives
       Washington, DC 20515

       Re:    Cost Estimate for the Conference Agreement on H.R. 1, a Bill to Provide
              for Reconciliation Pursuant to Titles II and V of the Concurrent Resolution
              on the Budget for Fiscal Year 2018

       Dear Mr. Chairman:

       The Congressional Budget Office and the staff of the Joint Committee on
       Taxation (JCT) have reviewed the conference agreement for H.R. 1, a bill to
       provide for reconciliation pursuant to Titles II and V of the Concurrent Resolution
       on the Budget for Fiscal Year 2018, as posted on the website of the House
       Committee on Rules on December 15, 2017.

       According to CBO's and JCT's estimates, enacting H.R. 1 would reduce revenues
       by about $1,649 billion and decrease outlays by about $194 billion over the period
       from 2018 to 2027, leading to an increase in the deficit of $1,455 billion over the
       next 10 years. Those estimates do not incorporate the effects of macroeconomic
       feedback.


       Summary of the Legislation

       Title I would amend numerous provisions of U.S. tax law. Among other changes,
       the bill would reduce most income tax rates for individuals and modify the tax
       brackets for those taxpayers; increase the standard deduction and the child tax
       credit; repeal deductions for personal exemptions; repeal or limit certain itemized
       deductions; and increase the exemption amounts for the individual alternative
       minimum tax. Those changes would take effect on January 1, 2018, and would be
       scheduled to expire after December 31, 2025. The bill also would permanently
       repeal the penalties associated with the requirement that most people obtain health
       insurance coverage (also known as the individual mandate).


www.cbo.gov

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