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1 H.R. 2, Agriculture and Nutrition Act of 2018 1 (April 13, 2018)

handle is hein.congrec/cbomayb0001 and id is 1 raw text is: 


       CONGRESSIONAL  BUDGET OFFICE                           Keith Hall, Director
       U.S. Congress
       Washington, DC 20515


                                  April 13, 2018



Honorable K. Michael Conaway
Chairman
Committee  on Agriculture
U.S. House of Representatives
Washington, DC  20515

Dear Mr. Chairman:

As you requested, CBO has prepared an estimate of the effects on direct spending and
revenues of H.R. 2, the Agriculture and Nutrition Act of 2018, as introduced on
April 12, 2018.

For this estimate, CBO assumes that the bill will be enacted by the end of fiscal year
2018. Most of the current authorizations for agriculture and nutrition programs that are
reauthorized by H.R. 2 will expire at the end of fiscal year 2018. However, consistent
with the rules governing baseline projections that are specified in the Balanced Budget
and Emergency  Deficit Control Act of 1985 (BBEDCA), CBO's  baseline incorporates
the assumption that those programs will continue to operate after their authorizations
expire in the same manner as they did before such expiration. Thus, the costs of
extending those authorizations through 2023 are not included in the costs attributable to
this bill. CBO estimates that those costs would total $387 billion over the 2019-2023
period.

Relative to spending projected under CBO's April 2018 baseline, CBO estimates that
enacting H.R. 2 would increase direct spending by $3.2 billion over the 2019-2023
period. Following the rules specified in BBEDCA, CBO has incorporated the assumption
that the changes made to those programs would continue after 2023, the final year of
authorization under the bill. On that basis, CBO estimates that direct spending would
decrease by $2.7 billion over the 2024-2028 period, for a net increase in direct spending
of $0.5 billion over the 2019-2028 period. CBO also estimates that enacting the bill
would increase revenues by $0.5 billion over the 2019-2028 period.

Because enacting H.R. 2 would affect direct spending and revenues, pay-as-you-go
procedures apply.

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