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Letter to the Honorable Don Nickles: An Analysis of the Literature on Disease Management Programs 1 (October 2004)

handle is hein.congrec/cbo9267 and id is 1 raw text is: CONGRESSIONAL BUDGET OFFICE                         Douglas Holtz-Eakin, Director
U.S. Congress
Washington, DC 20515
October 13, 2004
Honorable Don Nickles
Chairman
Committee on the Budget
United States Senate
Washington, DC 20510
Dear Mr. Chairman:
In response to inquiries by you and your staff about whether disease management programs can
reduce the overall cost of health care and how such programs might apply to Medicare, the
Congressional Budget Office (CBO) has prepared the attached analysis. It examines
peer-reviewed studies of disease management programs for specific conditions-congestive heart
failure, coronary artery disease, and diabetes (selected in part because they are highly prevalent
among Medicare beneficiaries)-and broader reviews of the relevant literature published in
major medical journals.
According to CBO's analysis, there is insufficient evidence to conclude that disease management
programs can generally reduce overall health spending. It is important to note that such programs
could be worthwhile even if they did not reduce costs, but CBO's analysis focused on the
question of whether those programs could pay for themselves. The proposition that decreased use
of acute care services might offset the costs of the screening, monitoring, and educational
services in disease management programs is clearly appealing, but, unfortunately, much of the
literature on those programs does not directly address health care costs. Instead, the focus is often
on the processes of care or on intermediate measures of health, from which an overall impact on
spending cannot reasonably be inferred. The few studies that report cost savings do so for
controlled settings and generally fail to account for all health care costs, including the cost of the
intervention itself. Furthermore, if disease management programs were applied to broader
populations, the reported savings might not be attainable, and the programs could even raise
costs. So while a few studies indicate that disease management programs could be designed to
reduce overall health costs for select groups of patients (at least in the short term), little research
directly addresses the issues that would arise in applying disease management to the older and
sicker Medicare population.
CBO will continue to monitor this research as new information becomes available-in particular,
the results of disease management demonstration projects now being developed by the Centers
for Medicare and Medicaid Services.

www.cbo.qov

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