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Underfunding of State and Local Pension Plans 1 (May 2011)

handle is hein.congrec/cbo8026 and id is 1 raw text is: CBO

A series of issue summaries from
the Congressional Budget Office
MAY 2011

The Underfunding of State and Local Pension Plans

The recent financial crisis and economic recession have
left many states and localities with extraordinary budget-
ary difficulties for the next few years, but structural short-
falls in their pension plans pose a problem that is likely to
endure for much longer. This issue brief discusses alterna-
tive approaches to assessing the size of those shortfalls and
the implications of those approaches for funding deci-
sions:
 By any measure, nearly all state and local pension
plans are underfunded, which means that the value of
the plans' assets is less than their accrued pension lia-
bilities for current workers and retirees.
  There are two leading approaches for valuing assets
and liabilities, and the reported amount of under-
funding varies significantly depending on which one is
used.
  Decisions about how to address the underfunding
can be informed by the choice between those two
measurement approaches, but there is no necessary
connection between the information provided by the
two approaches and decisions about how much a
plan's sponsor should contribute each year.
According to the Public Fund Survey of 126 state and
local pension plans, which account for about 85 percent
of pension assets and participants in state and local
pension plans in the United States, those plans held
roughly $2.6 trillion in financial assets in 2009 but had
about $3.3 trillion in liabilities for future pension pay-
ments.1 Thus, those assets covered less than 80 percent of
liabilities, and unfunded liabilities (the amount by
which liabilities exceed assets) amounted to roughly
$0.7 trillion.2 That share of liabilities covered by assets in
2009 was the lowest percentage in the past 20 years (see
1. Liabilities are measured as the present value of promised benefits.
Present value is the value today of a series of payments made in the
future, calculated by applying a discount rate to those payments.
The lower the rate of discount, the higher the present value.

Figure 1). By comparison, the amount of state and local
governments' debt that was outstanding at the end of
2009 was $2.4 trillion.
That estimate of unfunded liabilities is calculated on the
basis of actuarial guidelines currently followed by state
and local governments. Another approach for measuring
pension assets and liabilities, which more fully accounts
for the costs that pension obligations pose for taxpayers,
yields a much larger estimate of unfunded liabilities
for those plans in 2009-between $2 trillion and
$3 trillion.3
In any event, most state and local pension plans probably
will have sufficient assets, earnings, and contributions to
pay scheduled benefits for a number of years and thus
will not need to address their funding shortfalls
immediately. But they will probably have to do so eventu-
ally, and the longer they wait, the larger those shortfalls
could become.4 Most of the additional funding needed to
cover pension liabilities is likely to take the form of
higher government contributions and therefore will
require higher taxes or reduced government services for
residents. Additional funding for pension benefits already
accrued is unlikely to come from current workers; state
laws and court opinions indicate that efforts toward that
2. See National Association of State Retirement Administrators,
Public Fund Scorecard, available at www.publicfundsurvey.org/
publicfundsurvey/scorecard.asp (accessed March 22, 2011). The
data do not include costs for retirees' health care.
3. See Alicia H. Munnell and others, Valuing Liabilities in State and
Local Plans, Issue Brief 11 (Boston: Center for Retirement
Research at Boston College, June 2010). For earlier estimates, see
Robert Novy-Marx and Joshua D. Rauh, The Liabilities and
Risks of State-Sponsored Pension Plans, Journal ofEconomic
Perspectives, vol. 23, no. 4 (Fall 2009), pp. 191-210.
4. For a listing of actions taken in 2010, see Ronald K. Snell,
Pensions and Retirement Plan Enactments in 2010 State Legislatures
(National Conference of State Legislatures, November 23, 2010),
available at www.ncsl.org/?Tabld=20836.

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