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S. 154, Small Business Relief from Disease Induced Economic Hardship Act of 2017 1 (August 17, 2017)

handle is hein.congrec/cbo3680 and id is 1 raw text is: 




                  CONGRESSIONAL BUDGET OFFICE
                             COST   ESTIMATE

                                                                  August 17, 2017


                                    S.  154
                Small  Business  Relief From   Disease  Induced
                       Economic   Hardship   Act  of 2017

     As reported by the Senate Committee on Small Business and Entrepreneurship
                                on August 2, 2017


Under current law, the Small Business Administration (SBA) operates a loan program to
assist businesses, homeowners, and nonprofit organizations with physical and economic
damages after a Presidentially declared disaster or under certain other limited
circumstances. S. 154 would expand the definition of a disaster to include the presence of
communicable  diseases for which the federal government issues a travel alert or travel
warning.

Based on an analysis of information from the SBA, CBO expects that implementing the bill
would result in a very small increase in the number of loans made under the program.
While the number of loans made in a given year can vary significantly (from about 125,000
in 2006 to roughly 4,000 in 2014), the SBA disburses an average of about 25,000 loans
each year. The average loan amount under the program is about $90,000. CBO estimates
that implementing the bill to provide more disaster loans would increase the estimated
subsidy cost (the estimated long-term cost to the government of a loan, calculated on a
net-present-value basis) of disaster loans by $1 million over the 2018-2027 period; such
spending would be subject to the availability of appropriated funds. Based on information
from the SBA, CBO  estimates that implementing the bill would have no significant effect
on the administrative costs of operating the disaster loan program because of the small
number of loans expected to be made under the expansion.

The SBA  currently uses previously appropriated funds to cover the subsidy cost of disaster
loans, thus, by increasing the costs, enacting S. 154 would affect direct spending.
Therefore, pay-as-you-go procedures apply. However, CBO estimates that enacting S. 154
would result in no net effect on direct spending over the 2018-2027 period because the
agency expects all previously appropriated funds for this program would be spent anyway
under current law. Thus, any increase in spending for disaster loans would be offset by
lower spending for other purposes. Enacting the bill would not affect revenues.

CBO  estimates that enacting S. 154 would not increase net direct spending or on-budget
deficits in any of the four consecutive 10-year periods beginning in 2028.

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