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Monthly Budget Review for November 2016 1 (December 7, 2016)

handle is hein.congrec/cbo3268 and id is 1 raw text is: 









                    ~December 7, 2016






       Monthly Budget Review for November 2016


The federal budget deficit was $179 billion for the first two months of fiscal year 2017, the Congressional
Budget Office estimates, $22 billion less than the one recorded during the same period last year. Revenues
were higher than those in the same period last year, by 1 percent, and outlays decreased by 3 percent. But
this year's outlays were reduced by the shift of certain payments from October 2016 to September 2016
because October 1 fell on a weekend. Otherwise, outlays so far this year would have been $25 billion (or
about 4 percent) larger than those in October and November last year, and the deficit would have risen by
about $20 billion.


                                 Budget Totals, October-November
                                          (Billions of Dollars)

                          Actual. FY 2016       Pireliminary, FY 2017  Estimated Change

         Receipts               416                     421                     5
         Outlays                617                     601                    -16

         Deficit ()             201                     179                    22
         Sources: Congressional Budget Office; Department of the Treasury. Based on the Monthly Treasury
         Statement for October 2016 and the Daily Treasury Statements for November 2016.
         FY = fiscal year.



Total Receipts: Up by 1 Percent in the First Two Months of Fiscal Year 2017
Receipts through November totaled $421 billion, CBO estimates-$5 billion more than the amount for the
same period last year. The largest year-over-year changes were the following:

     Individual income and payroll (social insurance) taxes together rose by $13 billion (or
        4 percent).
        o    Amounts withheld from workers' paychecks rose by $16 billion (or 5 percent). That
             change reflects increases in wages and salaries.
         o   Nonwithheld payments of income taxes rose slightly-by less than $1 billion (or just
             under 1 percent).
         o   Income tax refunds were up by $2 billion (or 12 percent), reducing net receipts.
         o   Receipts from unemployment insurance taxes (one kind of payroll tax) declined by
             $1 billion (or 12 percent).

       Corporate income taxes fell by about $5 billion (from $8 billion in the first two months of
        fiscal year 2016 to about $2 billion so far this year). Because corporate income tax receipts
        in October and November generally represent a small percentage of the year's total, the
        results for those two months are not a significant indicator of receipts for the whole fiscal


Note: The amounts shown in this report include the surplus or deficit in the Social Security trust funds and the net cash
flow of the Postal Service, which are off-budget. Numbers may not add up to totals because of rounding.

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