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Medicare - Baseline Projections 1 (March 9, 2015)

handle is hein.congrec/cbo2083 and id is 1 raw text is: Mandatory Outlays (a) . . . . . Discretionary Outtays 68088 060lays Tota, Offsetting Receipts (b) Net Mandatory Outlays (Mandatory Outlays - Receipts) Benefits Part A . . . . Part B P a rt D .. .. . . . . . . . . . . Mandatory Administratio- (c) Tota MadtrS uly Hospital Inpatient Care Skiled N ursing Facilities.. .. .... .. . ... .. . .... .. Hospital Outpatient Services Group Plans (includes Medicare Advantage).... Home Health Agencies Part D Benefits (prescription drugs) (d) . . .... Other Services (e) Not Allocated to Specific Services: Independent Payment Advisory Board (IPAB) (f).. . 1Subtota, Medicare Benefits, Netof Recoveries Amounts Paid to Providers and Recovered W Toal 249 datory Meicr Beei Outlays o Memorandum: Number of Capitation Payments (h) ........ Medicare Benefits, net of recoveries, adjusted to remove effect of timing shifts (g,h) Total Mandatory Outlays Total Offsetting Receipts. . . . . Net Mandatory Outlays (Mandatory Outlays - Receipts) Benefits adjusted for recoveries and timing shifts (g,h) Part A Benefits . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Part B Benefits . . Part D Benefits . . . . . . . Total Medicare Benefits. . . Average benefit spending per beneficiary, adjusted for recoveries and timing shifts (g,h) Part A Benefits . . . . . . . . . . Part B Benefits . . . . . Part D Benefits Part A (fiscal year) Prospective Payment System (PPS) Market Basket Increase PPS Update Factor .. .. . . Part B (calendar year) Physician Medicare Economic Index (MEI) (I) . . Consumer Price Index for Urban Consumers (CPI-U) lO-year Moving Average of Multi-Factor Productivity (i) Medicare Totals (Billions of dollars) 600 626 671 691 698 775 829 ...888 995 1,026 1,053 1,193 6 b J 7 8 8 9 9 10 i0 1i Ii -93 -99 -ii0 -119 -124 -133 -140 -150 -16)2 -174 -187 -202 506 527 560 562 574 642 688 738 833 852 866 981 Components of Mandatory Outlays (Billions of dollars) 271 276 291 297 306 ...333 ...354 376 413 426 437 ...483 2b2 270 289 295 3U3 33b 361 388 435 451 465 5)24 65 77 88 .....87 .....87 102 ill 122 144 14 7 147 171 3 3 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 3 3 138 136 136 137 143 148 154 161 168 176 185 197 . . .70 63 .. . 58 .. .61 63 .. . 66 . ..68 71 .. . 75 . ..79 84 .. .90 41 44 47 50 53 56 60 65 70 75 82 90 156 172 204 204 203 245 270 296 353 354 348 411 . . .18 . . .17 . . .17 . . .18 . . .18 . . ..19 .. . .20 . . .21 . . 22 . . . 24 . . .25 .. . .27 . .... 77 .. . 88 87 .. . 87 .... 102 ill. ! . . 122 144 1.. 47 ...147 ....174 68 68 . ..70 73 . ..77 80 85 89 94 . ..99 105 113 . . .. . 0 0 0 0 0 0 .. . 0 0.. . o0 . .o . . . -1 .. .583 .. .608 .. .652 .. .662 .. .678 .. .753 .. .807 865 . ..970 1,000 1,024 .. .1,152 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 24 26 28 12 12 13 12 11 12 12 .......12 13 12 ........! 12 583 608 629 660 704 753 807 865 929 996 1,068 1,152 Annual Growth Rates (Percent) 2.5 4.3 7.2 1.6 2.4 11.0 6.9 7.2 11.9 3.1 2.7 12.3 0.0 5.5 12.0 7.9 4.5 6.7 5.8 7.0 7.7 7.4 7.7 7.8 .29 .4 1 .63 .04 .20 .. .11.9 .72 . ..7.3 .. .12.8 .23 .. .. 6 .. .13.3 .. . .0.0 . ! 7 .. . 2 7 . ..4.5 . ..6.4 .. . 5 8 .. . .6 2 . ..6.3 .. . 6 4 .. . 6. . . 6. ... 7.0 5.6 3.1 3.4 5.2 6.4 7.3 7.4 7.6 7.7 7.6 7.6 8.2 . . .5.0 19.0 6.5 .. .5.1 .. 8.4 9.5 9.0 .93 9.6 9.1 9.0 9.2 .. . 2.9 4.2 3.5 4.9 6.7 7.0 .. . 7.1 7.3 7.4 7.2 .. . 7.2 7.9 -2.9 -1.1 -0.1 .5 S.. 3.3 2.8 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.3 3.3 4.2 2.7 0.4 0.6 2.3 3.4 4.3 4A4 4.6 4.7 4.7 4.8 5.4 1.1 14.9 4.1 2.5 5.7 6.1 5.4 5.8 6.1 5.7 5.8 6.1 Payment Updates and Changes in PricelIndexes (Percent) 2.5 2.9 2.8 3.2 3.3 3.3 3.4 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.1 1.7 2. .. 2.0 1.8 1.7 15 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.4 2.2 2.0 0.8 0.8 2.1 2.7 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.7 2.7 27 2.6 2.6 1.7 1.1 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 1,0 1.0 0.9 1.0 0.9 1.0 1.1 --.-A

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