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CBO's Current Budget Projections [i] (January 2005)

handle is hein.congrec/cbo0815 and id is 1 raw text is: 







         CBO's Current Budget Projections

CBO's budget projections give the Congress a baseline against which to measure the effects
ol proposed changes in tax and spending laws. The projections start with the Congress's most
recent budgetary decisions and show whal would happen to the federal budget if no policy
changes were made over the projection period. For revenues and entitlement programs, such
as Social Security or Medicare, Ihe baseline projections generally assume that current laws will
continue withoul change. For discretionary spending, CBO (as directed by the Deficit Control
Ac) assumes that budget authority for discretionary programs will grow at the rate of Inflation
each year alter 2005. For more information about CBO and its budget projections, please see
About CBO.

CBO's most recenl st of budget projections (for fiscal years 2005 through 2015) was
published on January 25, 2005, in The Budget and Economic Outlook: Fiscal Years 2006
to 2015.

     CBO's Baseline Budget Projections
     CBO's Base;ns Projections of Mandatory Spending t
     CBO'a Baseline Projections of Discretionary Spending and Homeland Security
      Spending
     CBO's Baseline Prolectlons of Federal Debt
     CBO's Baseline Projections of Federal Interest Outlays
     The Budgetary Effects of Selected Policy Alternatives Not Included In CBO 1
      Baseline
    * Changes in CBO's Baseline Projections of the Deficit Since September 2004


CBO's Baseline Budget Projections

                                                                                                      Total, Total,
                   Actual                                                                             2006-   2006-
                     2004  2005   2006   2007   2008   2009   2010  2011   2012   2013   2014   2015   2010   2015

                                                 In Billions of Dollars


Revenues
  Individual income
  taxes
  ;orporate Income
  taxes
  Social illbutanue
  taxes
  Other
    Total
       On-bdget
       OfI-budget

outlays
  Discretionary
  spending
  Mandatory
  upending
  Net interest
    Total
       On-budgnt
       Off-budgnl


809     899    986   1,082 1,172  1,2065 1,362  1.561  1.718 1,822  1,932  2,048  5,867 14,947

  189   216    226    226    237    246   249    254    261    270    281    292  1,184  2,642

  733   790    833    878    918    962  1,009  1,054  1,102  1,151 1,202  1,253  4,598 10,360
  14-6  153    167     M7    M6     18R   161     M~    U1     23t    242    255   A6    a~A
1,880  2,057  2,212  2,357 2,508  2,662  2,806  3,062  3,303 3,474  3,657  3,847 12,545 29,888
1,345  1.464  1,607  1.719  1,836 1,956  2,066  2,287  2,494 2,629  2,775  2,928  9,184 22,297
  535   573    805    68R    672    706    740   774    809    845    882    919  3,361   7,591



  895   930    914    919    940    959    980  1,006  1,022  1,060  1,075  1,101 4,713   9,966

1,237  1,317  1,380  1,450 1,520  1,620  1,713  1,824  1,806  2,028 2,150  2,303  7,692 17,902
  160    178    2     249    274    289    303   311    314    311    308    303   3   28   7

2,292  2,425  2,507  2,618 2,743  2,869  2,996  3,142  3,232  3,389 3,542  3,706 13,733 30,743
1,913  2,024  2,092  2,190 2,300  2,409  2,517  2,644  P,711 2,841  2,965  3,097 11,508 25,766
  311)  401    415    498    443    460    479   497    521    548    577    609  2,225   4,977

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