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Economic Stimulus: Evaluating Proposed Changes in Tax Policy [i] (January 2002)

handle is hein.congrec/cbo0696 and id is 1 raw text is: 




     Economic Stimulus: Evaluating Proposed

                       Changes in Tax Policy


                                    January 2002


                                    Preface

The sustained slowdown in U.S. economic growth over the past year--despite interest rate cuts by the
Federal Reserve and the passage, last summer, of the Economic Growth and Tax Relief
Reconciliation Act--has prompted calls for additional stimulative action by the Congress. This
Congressional Budget Office (CBO) paper discusses some general economic principles that underlie
fiscal stimulus and assesses several proposed changes in tax policy intended to boost demand in the
short term. The report responds to questions about fiscal stimulus raised by the Chairman of the
Senate Budget Committee. In accordance with CBO's mandate to provide impartial analysis, the
paper contains no recommendations.

Thomas Woodward of CBO's Tax Analysis Division and John Sturrock of CBO's Macroeconomic
Analysis Division wrote the report. Mark Booth, Ufuk Demiroglu, Barbara Edwards, Ed Harris, Mark
Lasky, Carolyn Lynch, and David Weiner also contributed to the analysis. Robert Dennis, Doug
Hamilton, Arlene Holen, and Roberton Williams provided helpful comments on earlier versions of
the report.
Leah Mazade edited the paper, and Christine Bogusz proofread it. Linda Lewis Harris drafted the
table, Kathryn Winstead prepared the paper for publication, and Lenny Skutnik produced the printed
copies. Annette Kalicki prepared the electronic versions for CBO's Web site.

Dan L. Crippen
Director
January 2002


                                   Contents


Summary

Limitations of the Analysis

   * The Need for Stimulus
    The Interaction of Monetary and Fiscal Policy
    Spending as an Alternative or Supplement to Tax Stimulus
    Short-Term Stimulus Versus Long-Term Growth

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