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4 Crime & Just. 49 (1983)
The Influence of Gun Availability on Violent Crime Patterns

handle is hein.journals/cjrr4 and id is 59 raw text is: Philip J. Cook
The Influence of Gun
Availability on Violent
Crime Patterns
ABSTRACT
The spectacular increases in violent crime that began in the mid-1960s
continue, and Americans are currently being murdered, robbed, and
raped at historically unprecedented rates. Firearms are used in a minority
of violent crimes but are of special concern because more than 60 percent
of the most serious crimes-criminal homicides--are committed with
firearms. This essay presents a variety of evidence to the effect that the
widespread availability of firearms contributes to the criminal homicide
rate and influences violent crime patterns in several other respects as well.
A gun is usually superior to other weapons readily available for use in
violent crime; even in the hands of a weak and unskilled assailant, a gun
poses a credible threat and can be used to kill quickly, from a distance,
and in a relatively impersonal fashion. Guns are particularly valuable
against relatively invulnerable targets. Hence, gun availability facilitates
robbery of commercial places and lethal assaults on people who would
ordinarily be able to defend themselves against other weapons. Some of
the patterns of gun use in violent crime can be readily interpreted in
terms of relative vulnerability of different types of victims.
Guns are also more dangerous than other weapons, in the sense that
victims of robbery and assault are more likely to be killed if the assailant
uses a gun. On the other hand, the victim is ess likely to be injured in a
gun robbery than in other robberies, since the gun robber usually does
not feel the need to employ physical force.
This analysis suggests a number of predictions concerning the effects of
gun availability on the number, distribution, and seriousness of violent
crimes. In principle, these predictions could be tested directly by observ-
ing the effects of changes in gun availability on statistical characterizations
of violent crime patterns. Not much research of this sort has been done,
PhilipJ. Cook is Associate Professor of Public Policy Studies and Economics at Duke
University.
This essay is a substantial revision of my earlier paper entitled The Role of Firearms in
Violent Crime: An Interpretive Review of the Literature, with Some New Findings and
Suggestions for Future Research. This revision owes a great deal to the editors of this
volume.

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